FIFA World Cup 2026

WORLD
CUP
2026

Probability Simulator & Bracket Engine

🇺🇸 United States 🇲🇽 Mexico 🇨🇦 Canada Jun 11 – Jul 19, 2026
Ratings from FIFA Rankings (Apr 2026) · Fox Sports Power Rankings · DraftKings odds
Group Stage 48 teams · 12 groups · Top 2 + 8 best 3rd advance
Qualification
Advances to Round of 32
Best 3rd place (may advance)
Eliminated
Points bar & pill
Projected points (out of 9 max)
Hover the pts pill for W / D / L / GD detail
Strength rating (1–95)
Scaled from FIFA rankings & Fox Sports power rank
Hover column header for tooltip · Decimals = probability averages
Match probability bar
Home win %
Draw %
Away win %
Drag handles to adjust
⚠ Projected standings — not real results. Tournament starts June 11, 2026. Decimal values are probability-weighted averages across all possible match outcomes.
Group A Click to edit odds
1 🇲🇽 Mexico
4.7 pts Projected points: 4.7
Wins: 1.4 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.0
Goal diff: +2.3
2 🇰🇷 South Korea
4.6 pts Projected points: 4.6
Wins: 1.3 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.1
Goal diff: +1.3
3 🇨🇿 Czechia
4.2 pts Projected points: 4.2
Wins: 1.2 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.2
Goal diff: -0.9
4 🇿🇦 South Africa
3.3 pts Projected points: 3.3
Wins: 0.9 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.5
Goal diff: -2.7
Group B Click to edit odds
1 🇨🇭 Switzerland
4.6 pts Projected points: 4.6
Wins: 1.3 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.0
Goal diff: +0.2
2 🇨🇦 Canada
4.5 pts Projected points: 4.5
Wins: 1.3 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.1
Goal diff: +1.7
3 🇧🇦 Bosnia-Herzegovina
4.0 pts Projected points: 4.0
Wins: 1.1 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.2
Goal diff: -0.1
4 🇶🇦 Qatar
3.6 pts Projected points: 3.6
Wins: 1.0 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.4
Goal diff: -1.9
Group C Click to edit odds
1 🇧🇷 Brazil
4.8 pts Projected points: 4.8
Wins: 1.4 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.0
Goal diff: +2.5
2 🇲🇦 Morocco
4.8 pts Projected points: 4.8
Wins: 1.4 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.0
Goal diff: +1.9
3 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland
4.1 pts Projected points: 4.1
Wins: 1.2 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.2
Goal diff: -1.1
4 🇭🇹 Haiti
3.1 pts Projected points: 3.1
Wins: 0.8 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.6
Goal diff: -3.3
Group D Click to edit odds
1 🇺🇸 United States
4.6 pts Projected points: 4.6
Wins: 1.3 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.0
Goal diff: +2.1
2 🇹🇷 Türkiye
4.3 pts Projected points: 4.3
Wins: 1.2 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.1
Goal diff: -0.5
3 🇵🇾 Paraguay
4.1 pts Projected points: 4.1
Wins: 1.2 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.2
Goal diff: +0.1
4 🇦🇺 Australia
3.7 pts Projected points: 3.7
Wins: 1.0 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.3
Goal diff: -1.6
Group E Click to edit odds
1 🇩🇪 Germany
4.9 pts Projected points: 4.9
Wins: 1.4 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 0.9
Goal diff: +2.9
2 🇪🇨 Ecuador
4.6 pts Projected points: 4.6
Wins: 1.3 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.0
Goal diff: +1.5
3 🇨🇮 Ivory Coast
3.9 pts Projected points: 3.9
Wins: 1.1 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.3
Goal diff: -1.1
4 🇨🇼 Curaçao
3.3 pts Projected points: 3.3
Wins: 0.9 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.5
Goal diff: -3.3
Group F Click to edit odds
1 🇳🇱 Netherlands
4.7 pts Projected points: 4.7
Wins: 1.4 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.0
Goal diff: +2.3
2 🇯🇵 Japan
4.4 pts Projected points: 4.4
Wins: 1.3 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.1
Goal diff: +0.9
3 🇸🇪 Sweden
4.1 pts Projected points: 4.1
Wins: 1.1 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.2
Goal diff: -0.6
4 🇹🇳 Tunisia
3.5 pts Projected points: 3.5
Wins: 1.0 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.4
Goal diff: -2.6
Group G Click to edit odds
1 🇧🇪 Belgium
4.9 pts Projected points: 4.9
Wins: 1.4 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 0.9
Goal diff: +2.9
2 🇮🇷 Iran
4.2 pts Projected points: 4.2
Wins: 1.2 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.2
Goal diff: -0.2
3 🇪🇬 Egypt
4.0 pts Projected points: 4.0
Wins: 1.1 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.2
Goal diff: -0.1
4 🇳🇿 New Zealand
3.6 pts Projected points: 3.6
Wins: 1.0 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.4
Goal diff: -2.5
Group H Click to edit odds
1 🇪🇸 Spain
5.0 pts Projected points: 5.0
Wins: 1.4 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 0.9
Goal diff: +2.9
2 🇺🇾 Uruguay
4.6 pts Projected points: 4.6
Wins: 1.3 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.1
Goal diff: +1.3
3 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia
3.9 pts Projected points: 3.9
Wins: 1.1 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.3
Goal diff: -1.0
4 🇨🇻 Cape Verde
3.3 pts Projected points: 3.3
Wins: 0.9 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.5
Goal diff: -3.3
Group I Click to edit odds
1 🇫🇷 France
4.9 pts Projected points: 4.9
Wins: 1.4 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 0.9
Goal diff: +2.8
2 🇳🇴 Norway
4.4 pts Projected points: 4.4
Wins: 1.3 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.1
Goal diff: +0.4
3 🇸🇳 Senegal
4.1 pts Projected points: 4.1
Wins: 1.2 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.2
Goal diff: +0.2
4 🇮🇶 Iraq
3.3 pts Projected points: 3.3
Wins: 0.9 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.5
Goal diff: -3.3
Group J Click to edit odds
1 🇦🇷 Argentina
4.9 pts Projected points: 4.9
Wins: 1.4 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 0.9
Goal diff: +2.9
2 🇦🇹 Austria
4.3 pts Projected points: 4.3
Wins: 1.2 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.2
Goal diff: +0.5
3 🇩🇿 Algeria
3.9 pts Projected points: 3.9
Wins: 1.1 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.3
Goal diff: -1.1
4 🇯🇴 Jordan
3.7 pts Projected points: 3.7
Wins: 1.0 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.4
Goal diff: -2.2
Group K Click to edit odds
1 🇨🇴 Colombia
4.9 pts Projected points: 4.9
Wins: 1.4 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.0
Goal diff: +2.2
2 🇵🇹 Portugal
4.8 pts Projected points: 4.8
Wins: 1.4 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.0
Goal diff: +2.6
3 🇨🇩 Congo DR
3.5 pts Projected points: 3.5
Wins: 1.0 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.4
Goal diff: -2.6
4 🇺🇿 Uzbekistan
3.5 pts Projected points: 3.5
Wins: 1.0 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.4
Goal diff: -2.2
Group L Click to edit odds
1 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England
4.9 pts Projected points: 4.9
Wins: 1.4 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 0.9
Goal diff: +2.8
2 🇭🇷 Croatia
4.7 pts Projected points: 4.7
Wins: 1.4 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.0
Goal diff: +1.6
3 🇬🇭 Ghana
4.0 pts Projected points: 4.0
Wins: 1.1 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.2
Goal diff: -0.7
4 🇵🇦 Panama
3.1 pts Projected points: 3.1
Wins: 0.8 · Draws: 0.6 · Losses: 1.5
Goal diff: -3.7
Group Matches Drag the bar handles to set win probabilities
Probability bar — drag handles to adjust
Home win % — left zone
Draw % — middle zone
Away win % — right zone
Favored team
Highlighted % = higher probability side
Changes update group standings & bracket in real time
Presets
Use the preset buttons above to reset all
match probabilities at once
Group A
Mexico
33%
VS
South Korea
33%
Mexico win Draw 34% South Korea win
South Africa
33%
VS
Czechia
33%
South Africa win Draw 34% Czechia win
Mexico
33%
VS
South Africa
33%
Mexico win Draw 34% South Africa win
South Korea
33%
VS
Czechia
33%
South Korea win Draw 34% Czechia win
Mexico
33%
VS
Czechia
33%
Mexico win Draw 34% Czechia win
South Korea
33%
VS
South Africa
33%
South Korea win Draw 34% South Africa win
Group B
Canada
33%
VS
Bosnia-Herzegovina
33%
Canada win Draw 34% Bosnia-Herzegovina win
Qatar
33%
VS
Switzerland
33%
Qatar win Draw 34% Switzerland win
Canada
33%
VS
Qatar
33%
Canada win Draw 34% Qatar win
Bosnia-Herzegovina
33%
VS
Switzerland
33%
Bosnia-Herzegovina win Draw 34% Switzerland win
Canada
33%
VS
Switzerland
33%
Canada win Draw 34% Switzerland win
Bosnia-Herzegovina
33%
VS
Qatar
33%
Bosnia-Herzegovina win Draw 34% Qatar win
Group C
Brazil
33%
VS
Morocco
33%
Brazil win Draw 34% Morocco win
Haiti
33%
VS
Scotland
33%
Haiti win Draw 34% Scotland win
Brazil
33%
VS
Haiti
33%
Brazil win Draw 34% Haiti win
Morocco
33%
VS
Scotland
33%
Morocco win Draw 34% Scotland win
Brazil
33%
VS
Scotland
33%
Brazil win Draw 34% Scotland win
Morocco
33%
VS
Haiti
33%
Morocco win Draw 34% Haiti win
Group D
United States
33%
VS
Paraguay
33%
United States win Draw 34% Paraguay win
Australia
33%
VS
Türkiye
33%
Australia win Draw 34% Türkiye win
United States
33%
VS
Australia
33%
United States win Draw 34% Australia win
Paraguay
33%
VS
Türkiye
33%
Paraguay win Draw 34% Türkiye win
United States
33%
VS
Türkiye
33%
United States win Draw 34% Türkiye win
Paraguay
33%
VS
Australia
33%
Paraguay win Draw 34% Australia win
Group E
Germany
33%
VS
Ecuador
33%
Germany win Draw 34% Ecuador win
Ivory Coast
33%
VS
Curaçao
33%
Ivory Coast win Draw 34% Curaçao win
Germany
33%
VS
Ivory Coast
33%
Germany win Draw 34% Ivory Coast win
Ecuador
33%
VS
Curaçao
33%
Ecuador win Draw 34% Curaçao win
Germany
33%
VS
Curaçao
33%
Germany win Draw 34% Curaçao win
Ecuador
33%
VS
Ivory Coast
33%
Ecuador win Draw 34% Ivory Coast win
Group F
Netherlands
33%
VS
Japan
33%
Netherlands win Draw 34% Japan win
Sweden
33%
VS
Tunisia
33%
Sweden win Draw 34% Tunisia win
Netherlands
33%
VS
Sweden
33%
Netherlands win Draw 34% Sweden win
Japan
33%
VS
Tunisia
33%
Japan win Draw 34% Tunisia win
Netherlands
33%
VS
Tunisia
33%
Netherlands win Draw 34% Tunisia win
Japan
33%
VS
Sweden
33%
Japan win Draw 34% Sweden win
Group G
Belgium
33%
VS
Egypt
33%
Belgium win Draw 34% Egypt win
Iran
33%
VS
New Zealand
33%
Iran win Draw 34% New Zealand win
Belgium
33%
VS
Iran
33%
Belgium win Draw 34% Iran win
Egypt
33%
VS
New Zealand
33%
Egypt win Draw 34% New Zealand win
Belgium
33%
VS
New Zealand
33%
Belgium win Draw 34% New Zealand win
Egypt
33%
VS
Iran
33%
Egypt win Draw 34% Iran win
Group H
Spain
33%
VS
Uruguay
33%
Spain win Draw 34% Uruguay win
Saudi Arabia
33%
VS
Cape Verde
33%
Saudi Arabia win Draw 34% Cape Verde win
Spain
33%
VS
Saudi Arabia
33%
Spain win Draw 34% Saudi Arabia win
Uruguay
33%
VS
Cape Verde
33%
Uruguay win Draw 34% Cape Verde win
Spain
33%
VS
Cape Verde
33%
Spain win Draw 34% Cape Verde win
Uruguay
33%
VS
Saudi Arabia
33%
Uruguay win Draw 34% Saudi Arabia win
Group I
France
33%
VS
Senegal
33%
France win Draw 34% Senegal win
Norway
33%
VS
Iraq
33%
Norway win Draw 34% Iraq win
France
33%
VS
Norway
33%
France win Draw 34% Norway win
Senegal
33%
VS
Iraq
33%
Senegal win Draw 34% Iraq win
France
33%
VS
Iraq
33%
France win Draw 34% Iraq win
Senegal
33%
VS
Norway
33%
Senegal win Draw 34% Norway win
Group J
Argentina
33%
VS
Austria
33%
Argentina win Draw 34% Austria win
Algeria
33%
VS
Jordan
33%
Algeria win Draw 34% Jordan win
Argentina
33%
VS
Algeria
33%
Argentina win Draw 34% Algeria win
Austria
33%
VS
Jordan
33%
Austria win Draw 34% Jordan win
Argentina
33%
VS
Jordan
33%
Argentina win Draw 34% Jordan win
Austria
33%
VS
Algeria
33%
Austria win Draw 34% Algeria win
Group K
Portugal
33%
VS
Colombia
33%
Portugal win Draw 34% Colombia win
Uzbekistan
33%
VS
Congo DR
33%
Uzbekistan win Draw 34% Congo DR win
Portugal
33%
VS
Uzbekistan
33%
Portugal win Draw 34% Uzbekistan win
Colombia
33%
VS
Congo DR
33%
Colombia win Draw 34% Congo DR win
Portugal
33%
VS
Congo DR
33%
Portugal win Draw 34% Congo DR win
Colombia
33%
VS
Uzbekistan
33%
Colombia win Draw 34% Uzbekistan win
Group L
England
33%
VS
Croatia
33%
England win Draw 34% Croatia win
Ghana
33%
VS
Panama
33%
Ghana win Draw 34% Panama win
England
33%
VS
Ghana
33%
England win Draw 34% Ghana win
Croatia
33%
VS
Panama
33%
Croatia win Draw 34% Panama win
England
33%
VS
Panama
33%
England win Draw 34% Panama win
Croatia
33%
VS
Ghana
33%
Croatia win Draw 34% Ghana win
Knockout Bracket Projected from expected group standings
Round of 32
🇲🇽 Mexico 83
🇰🇷 South Korea 77
🇨🇭 Switzerland 78
🇨🇦 Canada 75
🇧🇷 Brazil 89
🇲🇦 Morocco 88
🇺🇸 United States 84
🇹🇷 Türkiye 76
🇩🇪 Germany 87
🇪🇨 Ecuador 80
🇳🇱 Netherlands 88
🇯🇵 Japan 79
🇧🇪 Belgium 85
🇮🇷 Iran 67
🇪🇸 Spain 94
🇺🇾 Uruguay 82
🇫🇷 France 95
🇳🇴 Norway 81
🇦🇷 Argentina 91
🇦🇹 Austria 73
🇨🇴 Colombia 92
🇵🇹 Portugal 90
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 93
🇭🇷 Croatia 86
🇸🇳 Senegal 74
🇸🇪 Sweden 72
🇵🇾 Paraguay 71
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland 70
🇬🇭 Ghana 69
🇨🇿 Czechia 68
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 66
🇧🇦 Bosnia-Herzegovina 65
Round of 16
🇲🇽 Mexico 83
🇨🇭 Switzerland 78
🇧🇷 Brazil 89
🇺🇸 United States 84
🇩🇪 Germany 87
🇳🇱 Netherlands 88
🇧🇪 Belgium 85
🇪🇸 Spain 94
🇫🇷 France 95
🇦🇷 Argentina 91
🇨🇴 Colombia 92
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 93
🇸🇳 Senegal 74
🇵🇾 Paraguay 71
🇬🇭 Ghana 69
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 66
Quarterfinals
🇲🇽 Mexico 83
🇧🇷 Brazil 89
🇳🇱 Netherlands 88
🇪🇸 Spain 94
🇫🇷 France 95
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 93
🇸🇳 Senegal 74
🇬🇭 Ghana 69
Semifinals
🇧🇷 Brazil 89
🇪🇸 Spain 94
🇫🇷 France 95
🇸🇳 Senegal 74
Final
🇪🇸 Spain 94
🇫🇷 France 95
🏆 Champion
🇫🇷 France 🏆
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